Monday 3 December 2012

Obama wins hearts in Myanmar, where sanctions still hurt

Obama wins hearts in Myanmar, where sanctions still hurt

Burmese people have generally welcomed Barack Obama’s visit — but even the US President doesn’t get as much applause as Aung San Suu Kyi. 
Myanmar-based journalist Victoria Bruce talks to locals.
In the dilapidated former capital of Yangon, Myanmar, a rainbow-coloured portrait of US President Barack Obama smiles benevolently across six lanes of haphazard traffic.
The first ever visit by an American president to the impoverished south-east Asian nation was met by tens of thousands of spectators yesterday, some waving flags and congratulatory banners, others just waiting until security task forces unblocked the pot-holed roads and allowed normal traffic to resume.
Arker Kyaw, a softly spoken 19-year-old university student also known by his tag name “Night”, is the artist behind Yangon’s hottest graffiti. Together with his older brother and confidant Soe Wai Htun, the pair used their savings and enlisted the help of friends and family to raise almost US$50 (close to one month’s salary) to buy paint and materials before waiting for the dead of night to descend upon the streets, armed only with a bag of spray cans and a hand-held video camera.
Why? To welcome President Obama, a foreign politician and iconic figure who they admire and respect. “We like Obama because of his leadership skills, his speeches and his heart,” Soe Wai Htun, 21, translated for his brother. ”We just wanted to make him feel welcome as a guest in our country.”
They realised the gravity of the risks they were taking; under the former military regime getting caught using spray paint on public property could land you in prison. But the brothers were more worried about having their mural defaced before the President arrived. Their first attempt — a similar portrait of Obama on a wall near the hotel where he stayed during his six-hour visit to Myanmar — was destroyed the same day it was completed, and already an attempt has been made to deface the second mural.
For Myanmar’s burgeoning media industry, Obama’s brief visit was “historic”, according to U Myo Lwin, a veteran media player and senior editor at weekly newspaper The Myanmar Times. Journalists were released from strict pre-publication censorship requirements earlier this year and many have finessed clandestine methods of information-gathering under the watchful eye of the former military regime. Most reporters have never travelled outside the country, let alone received a visit to their own from the most powerful man in the world.
Myanmar media have given quite a bit of coverage to his visit, so yes we can say it’s a big deal for them,” U Myo Lwin said, his comments reflected by the media scrum of reporters, photographers and cameramen who waited patiently for hours in the hot sun for a sight of the President’s Air Force One arrival on Monday morning.
Soe Wai Htun (left) with his brother, Obama artist Arker Kyaw.

Many made the lengthy pilgrimage — in 35 degree heat along blocked-off roads under the watchful eye of security forces — to the historic Yangon University to listen to Obama  address over 1300 people. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Myanmar’s opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi attended, while thousands of locals lined the streets outside for a glimpse of the President.
Suu Kyi, a Nobel Peace Prize laureate, received her standard rock star welcome as, dressed in peach and dark green, she greeted dignitaries and posed for photos with a surging crowd armed with smiles, smart phones and cameras. Earlier, she received an affectionate hug from the President. Suu Kyi visibly enjoyed a lengthy discussion with Claire Mitchell, the wife of the new US ambassador Derek Mitchell, and a quiet chat with Clinton before Obama began his speech.
He received a standing ovation after addressing the audience in their own language (to say “thank you”). The applause almost matched that for Suu Kyi.
But not everyone got caught up in Obama-fever. ”I don’t know what all this fuss is about,” said Daw Mya Lay, a 51-year-old grandmother who lost her job as a seamstress in a garment factory catering for US clothing lines six years ago after the US government imposed a blanket import ban on all made-in-Myanmar products. “Hundreds of thousands of women and girls lost their jobs overnight because of these American sanctions — so why are they happy now?”
The US government’s recent announcement that it would lift the ban could see the rejuvenation of Myanmar’s garment industry, which exported around 80% of its wares to the US before sanctions. But it’s too late for Daw Mya Lay, who now suffers from acute arthritis in her fingers, rendering her unable to sew.
A woman at work in a garment factory. Photo courtesy of the Asia-Europe Foundation.
 Myo Lwin realises not everyone in post-sanction Myanmar, a country that was isolated for decades under a range of punitive financial, trade and target sanctions, is ready to trust and embrace America. “Many see America as very advanced, very competitive in many areas, a global superpower and a material world,” U Myo Lwin said.
It had been a childhood dream among many people wanting to go there in 1970s and still there are many who like to see the US with their own eyes,” he said. ”In my opinion, there are not many among the blue collar workers who blame America for their hardships here. However, there are many who realise the consequences of the sanctions.”
For many in post-sanction Myanmar’s business community, Obama’s visit holds dual symbolism — the re-engagement means better business opportunities and a shift away from dominant China. “The geopolitical position of Myanmar is very strategic and the US realises China’s growing power in the region and its influence upon Myanmar,” said La Min Win, managing director of United Win Investment Corporation.
La Min Win, managing director of United Win Investment Corporation.
 Obama stressed Myanmar’s need to aim for economic prosperity, and noted the US had lifted sanctions, now allowing American firms to invest in the country. Soft drink giants Coca-Cola and Pepsi were among the first US firms to make their move. ”But that kind of growth must leave corruption behind,” Obama cautioned.
Political reform is the key to improving Myanmar’s economy and the social welfare of its people, says La Min, who recently returned after six years studying and working in Sydney. Together with a group of colleagues he’s a driving force behind the establishment of an Australia-Myanmar Chamber of Commerce and hopes President Obama’s visit will set a precedent for others to re-engage with Myanmar and assist to rebuild its crippled economy.
Obama’s promise to lend impoverished Myanmar a “helping hand” — as long as it continues to reform — came with a caution that Myanmar must ramp up efforts to put an end to its bloody ethnic conflicts, and release more prisoners of conscience.
Historic visitor... US President Barack Obama addresses an audience at Yangon University.
 Over the last year and a half, a dramatic transition has begun as a dictatorship of five decades has loosened its grip. Under President Thein Sein, the desire for change has been met by an agenda for reform,” Obama said. “So today I’ve come to keep my promise and extend the hand of friendship.”
Myanmar seems to be attempting to get something right — at least on paper. While the US President and most of the world was focusing on Yangon, authorities released dozens of prisoners of conscience. But local media reports of fresh violence in the far northern Kachin state went mostly unnoticed.

This article first appeared on Australian news site Crikey.com: http://www.crikey.com.au/2012/11/20/obama-wins-hearts-in-myanmar-where-sanctions-still-hurt/

*Victoria Bruce is the senior reporter for Myanmar-focused business magazine M-ZINE+

Monday 19 November 2012

Obama pledges commitment to Burma’s reforms

Obama pledges commitment to Burma’s reforms


If Burma continues with its commitment to democratic reforms and ending ethnic conflict, the United States will offer its ongoing support in assisting to rebuild its crippled economy, US President Barack Obama said on Monday afternoon.
Barack Obama during Yangon University address Monday 19 November.
Addressing a crowd of some 1,300 people at Yangon University, and flanked by Burmese pro-democracy icon Aung San Suu Kyi and US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, not to mention an anxious security detail, the president was speaking during his six-hour trip to the former Burmese capital, and the first ever to the country by a US president.

“When I took office as President, I sent a message to those governments who ruled by fear: ‘We will extend a hand if you are willing to unclench your fist,’” he said.

“And over the last year and a half, a dramatic transition has begun as a dictatorship of five decades has loosened its grip. Under President Thein Sein, the desire for change has been met by an agenda for reform.

“So today I’ve come to keep my promise and extend the hand of friendship,” he said.

It was perhaps no coincidence that Obama referred to Burma’s previous years of dictatorship while delivering a speech at Yangon University, formerly Rangoon University, which was the scene of student uprisings in 1962, 1974, 1988 and 1996, most of which were violently suppressed. The former military junta closed the campus in the 1990s fearing further unrest.

While praising President Thein Sein and noting the progress his government has made toward democratic reforms and improving freedom of speech for Burmese citizens, Obama noted that Burma still has to find a solution to its ethnic conflicts and to release all prisoners of conscience.

“On that journey, America will support you every step of the way: by using our assistance to empower civil society; by engaging your military to promote professionalism and human rights; and by partnership with you as you connect your progress towards democracy with economic development.”

Obama stressed Burma’s need to aim for economic prosperity, and noted the US had lifted sanctions, now allowing American firms to invest in the country.

“But that kind of growth must leave corruption behind,” he cautioned.

When the 51-year-old president stressed the need for Burma, torn by long-running civil war and ethnic conflict, to achieve national reconciliation, the room erupted in deafening applause.

The bloody conflict in Burma’s western Rakhine State also needs to be addressed, as does the debate over citizenship, said the Hawaiian-born president, explaining that the US is also a nation of immigrants.

Seated between Clinton and Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian and Pacific Affairs Kurt Campbell, Suu Kyi visibly enjoyed a lengthy discussion with Claire Mitchell, the wife of the new US Ambassador Derek Mitchell before the US President began his speech.

The Nobel Peace Prize laureate received her standard rock star welcome as, dressed in peach and dark green, she greeted dignitaries and posed for photos with a surging crowd armed with smiles, Smart Phones and cameras.

Obama concluded his remarks the same way he began, by addressing the audience in their own language, if only to say “thank you”; but it was enough for this Burmese audience, whose enthusiasm for the American almost matched that for Suu Kyi.

Obama left at 3:40 pm for Rangoon airport where he was due to fly immediately to Phnom Penh to participate in the current ASEAN summit.


This article first appeared on the Mizzima website on Monday 19 November: http://www.mizzima.com/news/inside-burma/8430-obama-pledges-commitment-to-burmas-reforms.html

Tuesday 6 November 2012

US Election: What if Myanmar could vote?

US Election: What if Myanmar could vote?

By Victoria Bruce 
Senior Reporter, M-ZINE+
Freelance contribution to the GlobalPost
 
MYANMAR — As part of GlobalPost's project to interview 100 people in 20 locations around the world about the 2012 US election, we asked residents in Myanmar:

Who do you want to win the 2012 US election?
Will the election affect your country?
How has your view of the US changed since President Obama took office?
What should the next US president do?

  • Name: Myint Swe
  • Country: Myanmar
  • Occupation: Monk
  • Age: 34
  • I would vote for: Undecided
My vote: "I don't know."

The election's impact:
"Our country is just starting to re-engage with the United States so I hope this process will continue after the 2012 election. I hope whoever is the new president will continue promoting good relations between US and Myanmar."

My view:
"I am glad the US has started dialogue with Myanmar — our country needs help to improve living conditions for everyone. But US dialogue against countries like Iran worries me. Our world does not need more war."

Top priority:
 "Make a move towards global security stability and peace with Iran."
  • Name: Ken Tun
  • Country: Myanmar
  • Occupation: CEO of local energy firm Parami Energy
  • Age: 38
  • I would vote for: Obama
My vote: "Barack Obama. I'm impressed with policies of the Obama administration, especially the foreign policy team led by Hillary Clinton. I was touched when she requested a minute of silence for Cyclone Nargis victims in Myanmar in 2008."

The election's impact:
 "We are currently undergoing a political and social transition in Myanmar. I understand the Obama administration supports the reform process of Myanmar and I am not sure Republican will consider a friendlier approach to the people of Myanmar."

My view:
 "Improved. The US economy is slightly better now and I have seen a great deal of effort in recovering from the sub-prime crisis."

Top priority:
 "Improve the image of America as a friendly ally."
  • Name: Myo Lwin
    Country:
    Myanmar
  • Occupation: Senior editor of the Myanmar Times
  • Age: 54
  • I would vote for: Romney
My vote: "Mitt Romney. As a multimillionaire business man, he understands economy better than Obama."

The election's impact:
"If the Republican like Mitt Romney becomes president, he will be dealing tougher with China, which can affect both US-China relations as well as Myanmar-China relations. It depends on how Myanmar will play between the US and China."

My view:
 "I have no idea."

Top priority:
 "Stability of the world economy."
  • Name: Win Oo
    Country:
    Myanmar
  • Occupation: Flower seller
  • Age: 16
  • I would vote for: Obama
My vote: "Barack Obama … he has a nice face but I don’t know him."

The election's impact:
 "I don’t think so… we have our own problems here and the US is so far away."

My view:
 "I don’t know much about US, but I heard they lifted sanctions against our country … so I hope now life will be easier for people and my mother can have a good job, so maybe I can go back to school again."

Top priority:
 "Make world peace and stop people from being hungry."
  • Name: Moe Cho
    Country:
    Myanmar
  • Occupation: Maid/Part-time student
  • Age: 18
  • I would vote for: Hillary Clinton
My vote: "Hillary Clinton – because she is beautiful and a strong woman and has visited my country Myanmar."

The election's impact:
 "I hope my country will have better relationships with America and the new president will help that."

My view:
 "I think the US is better now because they lifted sanctions on Myanmar and they will help us grow our country."

Top priority:
 "Make world peace and no more fighting."
 
ENDS
 
This article first appeared on the GlobalPost website on October 11, 2012: http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/asia-pacific/myanmar/120925/us-election-what-if-myanmar-could-vote

Monday 29 October 2012

Easing of U.S. imports ban opens new market for manufacturers



Easing of U.S. imports ban opens new market for manufacturers

BY VICTORIA BRUCE
Senior Reporter
M-ZINE+ 
 
When the United States government announced a blanket ban on made-in-Myanmar imports almost a decade ago, the country’s garment manufacturing industry went into free-fall.
The loss of its biggest export client forced over 100 garment factories to close and left thousands of workers destitute, said Dr Aung Win, the vice chairman of the Myanmar Garment Manufacturers Association (MGMA).
At their peak, exports of garments to the U.S. totalled around US $232 million and by 2003, almost 90 percent of the garments produced in Myanmar’s 400 clothing factories were destined for the shelves of some of America’s biggest fashion brands, including Levis, Nautica and Gap. 
Scouts for US clothing labels such as GAP have been visiting Myanmar.
“The U.S. sanctions really devastated our garment industry and many factories had to close,” Dr Aung Win told M-ZINE+ in an interview in Yangon.
Now, Myanmar’s crippled manufacturing industry could receive a huge shot in the arm after U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announced on September 27 that her government would take steps to lift its ban on imports during the recent visits of President Thein Sein and opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi to the United States.
The European Union (EU) is considering removing tariffs and quotas on the import of Myanmar products and reinstating the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP). The restrictions were put in place in 1997 due to concerns over the use of forced labour in Myanmar.

Western fashion houses on the prowl

Big American fashion houses are reported to have already been scoping out opportunities to bring made-in-Myanmar garments back to their catwalks, shelves and clothing racks.
Representatives of U.S. labels such as Gap and Eddie Bauer, Germany’s Hugo Boss and British retailers Marks & Spencer and Primark have visited the Southeast Asian nation in recent months.
“Since this summer many big American and European companies have come to visit our association and to see our industry,” Dr Aung Win said.
“Many have already come from Hugo Boss, Gap, Eddie Bauer, Marks & Spencer and Primark,” he said. “There’s so many I don’t remember.”
Local players in the country’s garment manufacturing industry have welcomed the move, and say the re-opening of the American market could break the current monopoly held by Asian garment-hungry nations such as Korea and Japan.
Tun Tun, director of clothing factory Princess Power Manufacturing Company Ltd., said he is very keen to establish links with the U.S. market.
“As an owner of a factory, we will take of the client with better terms and conditions and the U.S. firms give us much more favourable terms and conditions than the Asian market,” Tun Tun claimed in an interview with M-ZINE+ at the Traders Hotel in Yangon.
Transparency is important, according to this manufacturer.
“If a U.S. investor comes to us, my policy is to be very open and honest and show them that we have this capacity; we can produce this product at this quality and if they are satisfied then we hope they can work with us.”

West – East shift during sanctions

A decade ago, the situation was dire. With their biggest market, America, closed and many European clients seeking alternatives to the stigma of producing garments in military-regime controlled Myanmar, local manufacturers were left with little choice of destination to sell their wares.
This meant Asian firms could dictate payment terms and conditions, sometimes at much less favourable rates than their Western counterparts.
“In our Myanmar garment industry, the U.S. market share used to hold the biggest part. But after the sanctions, the U.S. market closed so we had to turn to Asian buyers,” Tun Tun said, adding Korea and Japan are currently the two biggest clients for his firm and for many other Myanmar manufacturers.
But with any restricted market, monopolies occur, and after the U.S. government’s blanket import ban on Myanmar products came into play in 2003, stricken garment manufacturers had little choice.
“From the buyer side, Asian firms found themselves with no competition so they could in a sense monopolize the industry,” Tun Tun said. “At the same time, they pay much less compared to the U.S. market, but we had no other choice other than accept their terms or to close up shop.”
So while the U.S. sanctions devastated Myanmar’s manufacturing industry and contributed to the country’s economic decline, some countries made a lot of money from Myanmar’s plight, according to Dr Aung Win.
“After the sanctions there was one Chinese company who brought in woven jean orders for the German market. They brought a big volume into Myanmar and sub-contracted out to more than 20 factories,” he said.
“After the sanctions there were no orders at all so we had to take [business] from that Chinese company at a very cheap price,” he said, noting that for one pair of pants or trousers they paid around 25-50 cents only, but they had no choice, to keep their workers and their companies operating, but to accept the orders from this company.
 “They made a big benefit out of the U.S. sanctions,” he said.

Diversification key to survival

Before joining the MGMA in 2000, Dr Aung Win headed up his family garment manufacturing business, Maple Trading Company Ltd, and is no stranger to the European or U.S. markets.
He’s produced a variety of clothing and apparel for major fashion brands including Spanish powerhouses Zara and Pull & Bear as well as getting his first big break from a Taiwanese sub-contractor making men’s polo shirts for U.S. brand Siegfried and women’s shirts for retail chain Walmart.
He says diversification was the key to his company’s survival since strong ties with the Spanish market accounted for around 90 per cent of his company’s business before the 2003 sanctions, which slashed around 10 per cent of his income from America’s Nautica.
“We were luckier than other factories since many of them relied 100 percent on U.S. orders and when the sanctions came down, their business disappeared and many had to close,” Dr Aung Win said.
“For us, we produced around two lines for the U.S. market and four lines for the Spanish market, so we weren’t affected as badly as other companies,” he said.
When Zara cancelled its orders in wake of the 2003 sanctions, his company was kept afloat by a contract with another Spanish retailer until 2008 when that firm relocated its orders to neighbouring Bangladesh, drawn by the favourable tax cuts from the country’s inclusion in the European Union’s Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) scheme.
Since then, like most of his competitors in Myanmar’s garment industry, he’s been relying on sporadic orders from Japanese and Korean clients and currently spends around six to eight months of the year producing down jackets for the Korean market.
But the relatively small order sizes means many factories only operate at full capacity for part of the year.
However, Dr Aung Win is optimistic his country will regain its once-booming manufacturing industry and is taking the first steps to re-engage with the U.S. – he is currently courting a U.S. jeans buyer from San Francisco and will be taking them on a site visit to his two factories this week.
“We are starting slowly and waiting for the new orders to come – waiting for the U.S. to come,” he said.

Finding the right people for the job

In its peak period from in early 2000, it is estimated Myanmar hosted around 400 garment factories with more than 300,000 employees, but now the industry is struggling to find enough skilled workers to staff its factories, Tun Tun said.
“Right now I don’t think we have enough human resource skills because every factory has labour shortages, so we can’t reach our optimum productivity,” he said.
“We need to raise our human resources capacity to be more skilful and stable, but this can be done because our young people are easily trained and willing to learn.”

                  A girl at work in a social enterprise created to help women who were victims of sexual trafficking.                                                                                             

While labour in Myanmar is relatively cheap, experts such as Professor Aung Tun Thet, senior advisor at the UN Resident Coordinator’s Office, Yangon, point to Myanmar’s imminent need to build capacity and skill workers to support Myanmar’s economic growth.
He said the industry’s decline over the past decade and Myanmar’s years of isolation from the international community has left the country impoverished and its education system in disarray.
“This is a long term process - there are no quick fixes,” Professor Aung Tun Thet said.
“The question is how do we try to address this skills gap in the short term,” he said, explaining that there needs to be a greater focus on vocational education and workplace training to groom Myanmar’s young labour force of some 30 million for successful employment.
Dr Aung Win estimates the current workforce to be around 150-200,000 but says many locally owned factories have difficulty retaining staff because they cannot compete against the higher wages offered by foreign owned firms.
But money isn’t everything – local firms can compete and keep workers by creating more attractive and pleasant working environments for their staff and they can start by employing good management conditions so their staff feel valued, Professor Aung Tun Thet said.
“It’s a combination of pull and push factors,” he said.
“We can’t stop the pull – foreign firms will attract people and pay exponentially more than local firms and we can’t stop this,”
“However we can keep talent within our firms by motivating them and allowing them to learn and grow.”

Local versus foreign owned factories

As the Myanmar government irons out the finishing touches to its long-anticipated foreign investment law, it is tipped that investment in the manufacturing industry will be restricted to joint venture with a local partner.
“According to the new regulations there are around 14 types of business which do not allow 100 per cent foreign ownership, and this will include the garment industry,” Dr Aung Win said.
“However, there is the opportunity for foreign firms to joint venture with local firms and it’s very likely the foreigners will take the majority partnership as they are bringing in fresh capital and technology,” he said.
Experts including Professor Theodore Moran, an American economist from Georgetown University, are in favour of liberal over protectionist foreign investment laws because these allow economies to develop naturally with healthy competition.
“Mandatory JV requirements induce foreign investors to withhold their most advanced technology,” Professor Moran told M-ZINE+ in an email.
“The key here is not to require foreign investors to have local partners,” he said, stressing the word “not.”
“It may seem counterintuitive but foreign investors transfer more advanced technology into the domestic economy when they are not “required” to do so than when technology sharing mandates are imposed upon them.”
Currently, South Korea and Japan have shown the most interest in Myanmar’s manufacturing industry, with a number of Japanese garment firms claiming spots in the Mingaladon Industrial Park outside of Yangon.
“Most garment factories are controlled by Korean firms,” Tun Tun said, adding that “Korean investors have their own factories here and have plans for the long run.”
He said the resurgence of U.S. investment could boost the industry, however if Myanmar’s locally owned factories could bring their operations up to international standards they will be well-placed to fill American orders.
“If American firms come here with their own investment and build their own factory and train our people, this would be good for our country as they will bring investment and technologies,”
“However if we are in direct competition, then our local firms will not be able to compete with multinationals.”
One scenario would be to have local firms supplying foreign exporters through CMT (cut, make trim) contracts where the supplier keeps the development of new styles and the materials under his control, and outsources the labour-intensive jobs, which has been the traditional method employed in Myanmar’s manufacturing industry.

Women in a Myanmar garment factory.

 Challenges in doing business

While Myanmar’s changing political and economic environment combined with a cheap and abundant labour force have peaked the interest of foreign investors, experts say current challenges such as the high cost of land and lack of infrastructure are holding back significant investment in the manufacturing industry.
Alessio Polastri, managing partner of local law firm P&A Asia terms Myanmar’s current land price issue as the “worst aspect of Myanmar” and says for some investors it poses serious problems.
“Lack of infrastructure will be temporary and telecommunication networks will come, as will a banking system,” Polastri said.
“But right now, [the] price of land is completely uncertain – it’s a total deal-breaker.”
“Unfortunately this may push investors out of the country, not only those in real estate but those in manufacturing,” he said.
“Even if the labour costs are cheaper than in other countries, for example China, people are still thinking twice about Myanmar because of the price of land,” Polastri said.
He said Myanmar had a long way to go before positioning itself as a more attractive investment destination than manufacturing-intensive emerging markets such as Bangladesh, Vietnam and Cambodia, which also boast low labour costs.
For local investors, the biggest obstacle to running an effective garment factory is lack of electricity, since domestic demand far outweighs current supply, often leaving factory owners to rely on expensive diesel-fuelled generators.
“Local business have listed the most important obstacle to doing business as the insufficient electricity supply, followed by political instability, foreign sanctions, corruption and credit,” said Jared Bissinger a PhD candidate at Australia’s Macquarie University who is studying Myanmar’s economy.
Other issues such as out-dated technology and challenging logistics mean Myanmar’s garment factories struggle to reach optimum productivity, Dr Aung Win said.
Today, with many firms feeling the squeeze of the global economic downturn, buyers will be looking for the best bang for their buck, says Keith Rabin, president of New York-based business consultancy KWR International.
“We are experiencing a general global economic weakness, so expansion of manufacturing capacity is not a high priority for many companies these days,” Rabin told M-ZINE+.
“However, given rising labour costs in China and other parts of Asia and an escalation of political tensions elsewhere in Asia, we are starting to see a shift of production out of China into Southeast Asia,”
“Myanmar is likely to benefit from this emerging trend and this relaxation makes that more feasible,” he said.

Removal of European trade tariffs

Although trade with Myanmar was not prohibited under European sanctions, negative stigma, issues with U.S. financial sanctions and unattractive trade tariffs has kept European interest to a minimum over the past decade.
The country’s exclusion from the EU’s Generalized System of Preferences tax reduction scheme also places it on an uneven playing field compared to manufacturing powerhouses such as neighbouring Bangladesh, Tun Tun said.
“But if the U.S. orders come in and the EU gives us back the Generalized System of Preferences, then we will have more choices and our CMT will become higher,” Tun Tun said, adding this would result in greater profits for local manufacturers who can then pass those benefits onto their staff.
In lieu of the Myanmar’s progress towards democratization, the EU will look at removing these restrictive trade tariffs, a move which will be welcomed by European buyers and Myanmar manufacturers.
The country’s exports to the EU totalled just 169 million euros (US$ 221 million) in 2011 – about three percent of the country's total exports to the world with textiles making up the majority of those exports to the EU, the Commission said.
This is a stark contrast to a decade ago when the EU was the second largest market for made-in-Myanmar garments, behind the U.S., receiving around 40 percent of Myanmar’s clothing exports in the year 2000.
The EU Commission said its proposal to restore GSP status for Myanmar was based on an International Labour Organization (ILO) conclusion that the country had made "significant" progress in tackling forced labour.


In a statement on September 18, EU Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht said that, "since Myanmar started to open up earlier this year I saw the need to underpin such deep and important changes with real economic support once key improvements for the workforce had been met.”
"Trade is fundamental to supporting political stability and the EU's trade preferences mean we will give this reform-minded country priority access to the world's largest market. That said, we will continue to engage with Myanmar to encourage continued progress on all fronts," De Gucht said.

What the experts say

While some local manufacturers are bullish about the return to the U.S. market, economists say that although Washington’s announcement to lift the import ban is an important symbolic move in support of Myanmar’s political and economic reforms, the country may need some time to see real economic benefits.
Australian economist and Myanmar expert Dr Sean Turnell said he is “bullish” about Myanmar’s potential to resume its regional status as an agricultural success story and this growth would naturally fuel the country’s manufacturing industry.
He says the removal of the U.S. import ban is an important step forward for Myanmar’s economic and political growth.
“This is very significant. It removes the last remaining external impediment to international investment in Myanmar, but especially that in labour-intensive manufacturing,” Dr Turnell said.
“Hitherto, investing in that sector made little sense when the world's most significant market for the output of such a sector was out of bounds.”
The move could also encourage potential investors by ranking Myanmar as a more attractive investment destination in terms of political risk.
“It will take time for investors to gain confidence but it is a step in the right direction,” said Tim Harcourt, former chief economist at Austrade and professor at the Australian School of Business in Kensington, New South Wales.
Australia never imposed trade or investment sanctions on Myanmar, but instead opted for targeted travel and financial sanctions against members of the former military regime, which were suspended in April as part of the Australian government’s engagement strategy with the impoverished Southeast Asian nation.
With time, trade links with the U.S. and the West will grow as both sides explore new business opportunities, Bissinger said, however it is unlikely Western demand will eclipse Asian markets, at least in the short term.
“It's certainly a positive, as it gives export oriented industries another major market to sell into. But it's an incremental benefit, not a game changer,” Bissinger said.
“It will take time to rebuild business relationships and may take time for Myanmar producers to get products to the standards needed by many American clients,” said  Bissinger.
“Over the medium run, trade links should grow. Garments were previously a major export to the US and could be again though it's unlikely they will be as important as they were in the early 2000's. But Asian markets will continue to be more important than the American market,” he said. 
But most agree that while the U.S. government’s move to ease its import ban on Myanmar and re-open a once crucial market to the country’s exporters has positive symbolic political implications, further economic reforms must continue before Myanmar reaches it real potential as an attractive investment destination.
“While relaxation of the import sanctions helps to move Myanmar out of the curiosity category into becoming a more viable contender – one still has to factor high land prices and the other operational issues within the parameters of an overall business and expansion plan,” said Keith Rabin from KWR International.
“That said, these measures are clearly a positive in a story that has exceeded almost everyone’s expectations and it likely to get better over time,” he said.
Clearly, these are early days. But there are indications that hip Americans could soon be togged out in the latest fashionable designer brand “Made in Myanmar” clothes.



ENDS

This article first appeared in edition 42 of M-ZINE+ on 18 October 2012.